Seller Responsibility: Clean the House and Take Your Junk!

 What is it with Sellers that think it is OK to leave all kinds of garbage behind for their Buyers to deal with? We’ve seen it all, from engine blocks to garbage bags filled with used diapers. A favorite is old paint cans with colors that haven’t been used in the house in 20 years, or old broken hollow-core doors that have been replaced. Stacks of ancient, rotting, insect infested firewood are truly a treasure every home buyer covets.

Wake up! Nobody wants your junk! Pardon me if I offend anyone, but selling a house is NOT the same as vacating a rental without a damage deposit.

There is a nice little provision in a Northwest Multiple Listing Service Form that is part of nearly every Purchase and Sale Agreement: Form 22D, Paragraph 5 states:

Items Left By Seller. Any personal property, fixtures or other items remaining on the Property when possession is transferred to the Buyer shall thereupon become the property of the Buyer, and may be retained or disposed of as Buyer determines. However, Seller agrees to clean the interiors of any structures and remove all trash, debris and rubbish on the Property prior to Buyer taking possession.

I bring this up because we had an issue….again….last week when our Client, the Buyer, arrived at his house with the keys in anticipation of a clean house. What he found was a garage full of JUNK! and the both dumpsters were packed to the brim. We notified the Listing Agent of this little problem and were ignored. We advised them that unless the Seller was going to clean out the garage, we would hire a company to take care of it. Still no response. We hired a trash hauling company. The total bill, which we paid as required by the vendor, was almost $500. We faxed the invoice to the Listing Agent who promptly handed it to the Seller. The next morning Diana received a screaming earful from the Seller over the phone: “How dare you blah blah blah…..”

I sent an email to the Listing Agent. [This is a guy that always wears a suit, never gets his hands dirty, and found this garbage issue well beneath him.] His response was that “he has no control over what his Seller chooses to do”. I replied that that was not a good answer, along with a few other sternly stated facts. An hour later I received his phone call and he agreed that a reimbursement check would be sent out right away.

So Sellers, be mindful that you are legally bound to remove ALL trash from the property, even the trash that was there when you bought the place.

Agents, if your Seller is too pressed for time to take care of it, the right thing to do is to take care of it yourself, at your expense! You make enough, unless you are a Redfin agent or a member of some other low hanging fruit company, so take the initiative, demonstrate some professionalism, and take of it for your Seller.

Every Buyer has the right to expect a clean property upon their arrival. It is the reponsibility of all Sellers and their respective Listing Agents to make certain it is so.

Housing Predictions For King County and South Snohomish

Everywhere we go people ask us the same question, “how are things in real estate?” Depending on our energy level at that point in time, our answer might take 10 seconds, or 10 minutes. Sometimes people ask because they are truly interested from a personal standpoint. Sometimes it’s too find out if we are suffering as much as the media says we should be. Sometimes I think folks want to know what Kind of person I am i.e., will I simply throw out a lot of optimistic BS, or am I real and will actually think about how to honestly respond.

After much reflection on our position and experience in the current market, combined with discussions with other agents and brokers that I highly respect, I have come to the following conclusions:

1. There is a current oversupply of new homes. These homes will be discounted and sold by the builders over the next 6 to 10 months.

2. The same builders will generally not be allowed by their respective lenders to start new homes until their current completed standing inventory is sold off as stated in number “1″ above.

3. These same builders that used to get the green light from their lender(s) to start 10 homes at a time will be limited to 3 starts at a time for the foreseeable future. Successive home starts will be dictated by closed sales e.g., “you may start 3 now, but you have to finish and close one sale before you will be financed to start a 4th home.” It used to be that a builder could start a new home as soon as a buyer put down earnest money on an incomplete home (pre-sale). I don’t think it’s going to work like that any more, at least for some time.

4. Due to the foregoing, the supply of new homes will be consumed, and the rate of re-supply constricted, within 12 to 18 months.

5. Builders will have to work hard to keep their vacant lots looking like a happy place with fencing, landscaping, etc., and not looking like abandoned developments.

6. The change in new home supply will have a direct effect, albeit slightly delayed, on the resale home market. It will take 18 to 24 months for upward price pressures to reappear in the resale market, but it will come back……..just about the same time the mortgage industry will have healed from recent and current problems.

7. When asked the question, “how far will the market drop?”, my reply is November, 2006. Appreciation could be readily justified to that point, not beyond. Some folks maybe got a little more than they should have for their home in the first half of 2007, and some maybe paid a little more than they should have. But the difference is no more than will be readily absorbed and smoothed out over the next 5 years.

Thant’s my story and I’m sticking to it……at least for now.

Housing Pessimism: Get Over It….

I suppose it is not fair to ask today’s prospective home buyers what all the fuss is about. Given the daily onslaught of negative media coverage of housing and the economy, it is permissible to be concerned about whether or not to take the plunge. However, I don’t understand the hand-wringing, mind warping fear that has gripped many home shoppers to the extent that they can’t make a decision. Analysis paralysis is how I reference the condition wherein folks talk themselves out of making an offer as fast as they decided to buy. There is nothing wrong with being analytical about a home purchase, but the human factor cannot be dismissed.

A home is where babies are raised to be children, puppies become dogs, we celebrate Thanksgiving, birthdays, have barbecues with neighbors and friends, plant a garden, paint a room, start a hobby, read a book. All of these things can be done in an apartment or a rental home, but they are never the same as when they take place in your own home. There is not the same feeling of permanency, of family, when life takes place in a building owned by someone else. Yes, there is some stress and work involved. But I think you will find that most homeowners wouldn’t have it any other way.

It’s accepted that no one wants to be the buyer that bought at the top of the market. Conversely, often it is the fool that sets their sights on buying at the bottom.

Buyers have more choices today in the Puget Sound Region than they have had in 5 years. The whining, the crying, and moaning that went on for those 5 years while buyers had little to choose from stands in stark contrast to the attitudes of today’s buyers that seemingly can’t make up their mind about anything. Is it because they have too many choices? Perhaps. More likely it is because they lack focus. “What are the reasons for buying home now. What will change in the future that will impact my decision today?”

Interest rates may go up……or down.

Home prices may go down……..or up.

The days of buying and selling within 2 or 3 years are well behind us. If you’re not going to stay put for at least 5 years, don’t bother. That has been the traditional standard for over 50 years. Five years is enough to absorb the inevitable dip in value along the way and still achieve enough appreciation to cover the selling costs when it is time to move on.

So if you are worried about buying, get over it. Be smart, don’t overbuy, pay for a thorough inspection, know the costs of needed repairs, get a conservative loan, then move in and get on with your life’s business of growing memories.

Hallelujah!

After 3+ years of refuting, critiquing and criticising the writings of The Seattle Time’s Elizabeth Rhodes on real estate matters, the Times has finally heard our pleas and replaced her with a new, actual Real Estate Editor. Meet Cindy Zetts. In her first article for the Times in yesterday’s Real Estate section, Cindy quickly demonstrates that “SHE GETS IT!” She has experienced multiple real estate transactions and has taken the time to study, and thus understand, how real estate works.

I am both thrilled, and relieved, that Ms. Rhodes has been demoted in what appears to be a lateral move with the new title of “Business Reporter”. Great! Let her torture the business sector for a few years with her uninformed, poorly researched, and otherwise confusing and misleading articles.

Unless you are in the business, my zeal for this improvement may seem over-emphasized. Allow me to explain: The time that we have spent explaining Ms. Rhodes inaccuracies and wrong-headed view of real estate over the last 3+ years to confused clients and prospects has been frustrating, to say the least. Now we can fully focus on the tasks that matter, helping people navigate the real estate buying and selling processes without fighting the rip tides caused by Ms. Rhodes.

Although it is early in the game, if the first article by Ms. Zetts is any indication, Western Washington may finally have a columnist that will help them in their quest to understand real estate.

Left Out In The Cold?

The help that the Federal Government has pumped into the economy may take a awhile to help home-buyers and those seeking to refinance. The Sunday Seattle Times included an article by Jeff D. Opdyke and Jane J. Kim of The Wall Street Journal. Very good insights as to why we are not seeing conforming 30 year fixed rate mortgages drop to near 5% are offered. ARM’s are no bargain either because lenders are doing all they can to liquidate the ARM’s they already have on their books. This means that the ARM Jumbo you may be seeking will have a tough time being resold into a market already flooded with older ARM’s that lenders are trying to unload, thus your ARM will require a higher rate to attract buyers.

One bit of relief is the reduction in credit card and auto loan rates, as well as home equity lines of credit ["HELOC"].

Good advice is also offered regarding the importance of watching the mortgage market closely for signs of an opportunity. As the market is extremely volatile, be ready to act quickly should the product you desire suddenly drop in price.

The Mortgage Professor

Jack Guttentag, aka “The Mortgage Professor”, is  a syndicated columnist to the Seattle Times. He has often referenced his website: http://www.mtgprofessor.com/Default.htm. Today, I finally decided to pay a visit, as I am considering the alternatives available to me for refinancing my current Jumbo mortgage. There is a lot valuable information there. It is more important than ever to thoroughly research the loan process as lenders attempt to shore up cash flow based on fewer transactions. Learn about “UMB’s” and “MB’s” from the professor, then set your sights on what the best avenue is for you.

As Diana mentioned to me this morning, it is uncanny how acutely aware homeowners and home-buyers are aware of commissions paid to real estate agents, yet have little grasp of how mortgage lenders/brokers are compensated. This web site will open the eyes of would-be borrowers to the web of techniques utilized by unscrupulous lenders that seek to take advantage of borrowers, particularly when their backs are to the wall i.e., facing default on a purchase and sale agreement if they don’t close, or losing a home to foreclosure.

The lack of regulation and standardization is what created the mortgage lending crisis. It is solely up to consumers to decipher what they are getting for their money. This website will educate you to the pitfalls, give you the questions to ask your lender, and resources that you may not have considered. It takes a bit of effort to absorb, but is well worth the time invested………..for all of us. For if we, as a group, bring similar pressure to bear on the lending industry, we might just help straighten out the current crisis, as well as insure that it is not soon revisited.

Mortgage Mess: Light at the End of The Tunnel?

Jack Guttentag, aka “The Mortgage Professor”, provides some interesting insights into the mortgage market meltdown in his Sunday Seattle Times article “It’s Time To Expand Role of Mortgage Insurance”. Parts of his article are characteristically dry and difficult to read, but the essence of the message is there. If there is a bright spot in this deluge of not-so-good-news, it is that the mortgage insurance companies, those that impose an insurance policy on mortgage amounts in excess of 80% of property values, are doing OK. Why? Because they are insurance companies. As insurance companies, they have been required to “hold in reserve” i.e., save, a portion of the premiums that they collect in order to weather, without going broke, a housing downturn event. This means that they actually have the money to absorb the losses they are suffering through foreclosures and deflated property values. At least, so far.

Have you wondered how so many managed to get that zero down 100% no doc, no equity, no job loan with having to pay mortgage insurance premiums ["MIP"]? As an alternative, the mortgage bundling geniuses of Wall Street cooked up a risk assessment system that charged loan fees, interest rates and loan types based on risk factors.

“Oh, you don’t want to pay MIP with your loan every month? No problem. We have this little thing called an ARM with an artificially low start rate that is guaranteed to completely blow up your financial life in 2 or 3 years. But don’t worry, we’ll refinance you out of that in a year or so into a 30 year fixed rate loan you can live with. How do we do that? Simple! Your property simply has to appreciate to where it will appraise for 20% more than the inflated value that we are using today. Oh, did I say inflated? I meant enhanced. That’s what we say when we pack all of the exorbitant loan fees onto your loan amount. That way, you’re not just getting 100% financing, but about 103% financing. But don’t worry. The important thing is that you are in the market, and surely your property will continue to appreciate at 10-15% per year.”

The Mortgage Professor thinks that MIP is the way out of this mess. Once considered a nuisance to borrowers, it may now be a blessing as a means to refinance loans that exceed 80% of appraised property values and allow owners to keep their homes.

Know The Cost Of Your Commute

As we face the prospect of $4.00/gallon gas, and the likelihood that we will soon be paying tolls to drive around King County, take the time to calculate what your commute actually costs, relative to your home’s value and location. This nifty tool will answer questions that perhaps you hadn’t thought of asking before. While we have historically sought to reduce commutes to save TIME, it is going to become just as important, if not more so, to consider the hard costs associated with commutes.

This calculator is a little bit tricky to use at first, but patience will provide excellent information. You may input as many “commuters” from your family as you like, each with its own vehicle value and average miles-per-gallon, as well as distance, number of commutes per month, estimated vehicle maintenance costs, and toll costs. This information is combined with the size of respective mortgages, interest rate, and location. The results can be a bit startling, especially when you move farther out and spend MORE rather than less as we did a few years ago.

While it was understood that our mortgage would more than double in size, I never could have anticipated that the extra 10 mile commute expense would add another $1400/month.

Location. Location. Location……………

More Waiting For True Jumbo Relief Required…..

Further exasperating the jumbo loan picture is the idea that Wall Street is going to segregate the new Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac loans that exceed the former conforming limits. This is going to limit the interest rate relief originally sought by the increased conforming loan limit initiative. Read this article from the Associated Press.

Fed Help Not Really Enough For King County….

 Daniel Billett of Response Mortgage in Seattle plans to refinance as soon as the new loan limits are confirmed.

The Saturday Seattle Times featured a cover story by Katie Hafner of the New York Times concerning the Federal stimulus packagerecently signed into law. (For some reason, the Seattle Time’s on-line version is not available, so this link takes you to the NY Times site.) While the story reveals that the new maximum limits for “conforming” loans may be as high as $729,950, it also explains that the limits are set in accordance with regional median sales prices. That means that our new local conforming loan limit will be about $544,000. It will help, but not nearly enough for the many homeowners sitting on 3 to 7 year adjustable rate mortgages in excess of $600,000. And there are a lot of them. The King County market needed a boost in the conforming limit to at least $650,000 on order to avert a looming meltdown in what I call the “upper tween-er market”: homeowners that earn enough to support properties valued from $700,000 to $1M, but are not liquid enough to reduce i.e., pay down their respective loan amounts to get under the conforming limit and refinance before their current jumbo ARM resets or expires.

Builders face a similar problem. With finished building lots coming on line at between $225,000 and $350,000 each, builders generally need to build finished homes worth between $750,000 and $950,000. The new conforming loan limit of $544,000, by itself, is not going to be sufficient to finance this type of product.

Since it has taken sine June of ‘06 to get this much help from the Feds, waiting for additional, or increased, assistance isn’t going to be practical for many homeowners and builders. I think it is more likely that the higher jumbo loan (non-conforming) rates will have to be endured for the foreseeable future. With those rates exceeding conforming rates by 1-2%, and fewer buyers willing to pay those rates, there will be downward pressure on prices of properties in the upper tween-er market.

(Note: I refer to this price range as the tween-er market because owners and buyers in the market above $1.2M generally have enough liquidity that they are comparatively immune to interest rate variances on this scale.)